2024年4月21日发(作者:c盘有空间但压缩不了)
Practical Problems and Coping Strategies of Wind
Power Industry in China
Chuanglin Fang
Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Beijing, China 100101
fangcl@
Abstract—China has the richest wind power resource and a great
potential for exploitation and utilization. But there are several
practical problems need to be solved promptly. They are: (1)
lack of accurate distribution atlas and master plan for the
national wind power resources, and thus, market disorder
generated, (2) planning target of exploitation is low because of the
low level of utilization, (3) low level of localization of large wind
turbines results in the loss of large number of foreign exchange,
(4) weak technological innovative capability is the biggest
bottleneck of wind power industrial development, and (5)
unreasonable price of wind power on-grid leads to unreasonable
profit margin of enterprises. To solve the problems mentioned
above, the following measures should be taken: (1) The atlas of
wind power resources should be made as soon as possible, and
the master plan of national wind power industry should be
prepared from the strategic perspective of our country. (2) Execute
“Ҏ” style development model of wind power and construct seven
bases of wind power industry which are high-energy and low-coal.
Transfer the high energy-consumption industries to coastal
regions and the Three-North regions (regions of Northeast,
Northwest and Northern China) which are rich in wind power, (3)
Execute the strategy of “developing the wind power industry by
science and technology” to improve the localization of wind
power equipment and build wind power equipment
manufacturing bases which have international competitiveness.
(4) Adjust the prices of electricity on-grid and take the minimum
protective price of 0.5 Yuan / kWh to protect wind power
enterprises, and (5) Adjust the wind power goal in the
“Development Planning for National Renewable Energy” to
improve the national and international status of wind power
development, and to accomplish the transformation from great
nation of wind energy resources to great nation of wind power
industry.
Keywords—Wind power industry; non-grid wind power; problems;
low-coal; high-energy; coping strategies; China
taken wind energy development and its utilization as their
most important tasks in 21st century, and the wind power
generation as measures of emission reduction of CO2 and
other greenhouse gas which they have promised. Based on the
situation mentioned above, Chinese government has attached
great importance to the development of wind power industry,
and has enacted “Medium and Long-term Development Plan
for National Renewable Energy Source”; promulgated and
implemented “Renewable Energy Law”; released related
preferential policy one after another; and the Key Project of
Chinese National Programs for FundamentalResearch and
Development (973 Program) carried out special projects of
“ fundamental research on large-scale non-grid wind power
systems " (No. 2007CB210306) in 2007. Research indicates
that that there are some practical problems which need to be
solved urgently, and it’s urgently necessary to put forward
response measures to solve those problems from the national
strategic perspective.
II.P
RACTICAL PROBLEMS OF THE EXPLOITATION OF WIND
POWER RESOURCES AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIND POWER
INDUSTRY THAT NEED TO BE SOLVED
By the end of 2007, the built and building wind plants have
added up to 159, the installed wind turbines have reached
4871, and the installed capacities have come to 1034.51h
104kW in China ever since the first wind plant being built in
1986. Since the early 21st century, the average increase rate of
installed capacity is 65.69% in China which is far more than
25.8% of the average value of the whole world. This fact
indicates that wind power industry in China has entered a
stage of accelerated development. However, several practical
problems emerge at the same time.
’s Lack Of Accurate National Wind Power - Atlas and
Wind Power Development Master Plan, and The Wind
Power Market is Disordered.
Most foreign countries have completed wind energy
resources atlas based on the accurate assessment of wind
power resources with the precision of 1×1 km, including
information of electrical network, geology, environment and
so on. According to the atlas, they enact the development
planning of wind power. While, in our country, we still lack
the accurate assessment data of wind resources, therefore, the
property of wind energy resources is unclear, and result in
I.I
NTRODUCTION
China is the country of which wind power resource is the
richest of all the world, and the potential for exploitation and
utilization is great
[1]
. China is also the second largest country
in energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions and CO2
emissions. China is now in the stage of the heavy chemical
industry facing growing international pressure on the issue of
climate changes and greenhouse gas emissions, therefore, we
must strive to speed up the development of wind energy
resources from the strategic perspective of national energy
security. Currently almost all the developed countries have
978-1-4244-4702-2/09/$25.00 ©2009 IEEE
1
related appraisal lag. The third national wind resource
assessment carried out at the end of 2003 mainly relies on the
work of more than 2000 nationwide weather stations. The
precision is 30~100 kilometer of grid interval, and the margin
for error is sizeable; therefore, it is difficult to carry out
scientific planning and exploitation according to it. Although
the State has promulgated “the Renewable Energy Law’’, and
the “Medium and Long-term Development Plan of National
Renewable Energy Source ", it still lacks corresponding
executive regulation. As a result, phenomena of blind-building,
goal comparison, vicious competition and blind thermal
generate. Moreover, the development condition of wind plants
is disordered. Major power generation groups, local
mainstream model is still in development stage in China. Since
we haven’t grasped core technology, the foreign capital enters
in this market in large scale, and 6 manufacturers of the
world's top 10 have founded factories in China. Most domestic
enterprises rely on the purchase of permits, and this leads to
the soaring price of permits, which is from 100~200 million
euros in the initial to 800~900 million euros, that is, we should
pay technical royalty fees of 50,000 euros for each foreign
wind generator. One type of model is sold to a number of
domestic enterprises, which results in the great loss of foreign
exchange. In addition, China's north-south differences in
climate are significant, and the wind turbines produced by
foreign countries may not be entirely suited to the condition of
enterprises and private enterprises enter the wind power
market, and "siege" wind energy-rich region. They have
occupied a large area of fertile farmland or high-quality
coastline. Consequently, adjustments and norms are needed in
the market.
Levels of Development and Utilization of Wind
Energy Resources Lead To Low Levels of National
Planning Target of Wind Power Development
The development volume of China's wind energy only
occupies 0.5% of available volume of wind energy resources.
In 2006, the installed equipment of the national wind
electricity is less than 0.7% of the installed equipment of the
national electric power, which accounts for less than 1.6% of
the world wind electricity installed capacity
[2].
While in
Germany, Spain, the United States, Denmark and Japan, this
proportion is as high as 34.7%, 17.3%, 14.1%, 6.44% and
2.1% respectively. It is far from the great goal proposed by
European Wind Energy Association and Greenpeace, which
put forth that the wind power should achieve 12% of the total
electricity in the world by 2020. Low levels of development
and utilization of wind energy resources lead to low levels of
national planning target of wind power development. We put
forward that the installed capacity of wind power will reach 5
million kilowatts by 2010 and 30 million kilowatts by 2020 in
the " Medium and long-term Development plan of National
Renewable energy source ", but in fact, the installed capacity
of wind power by 2007 has doubled to the national planning
objectives of 2010. According to this growth rate, the installed
capacity of China's wind power will quadruple the national
planning objectives by 2020
[3]
. Excessively low wind power
planning objectives go against the sound development of wind
power industry, and they are not conducive to the
accomplishment of the target of energy substitutes strategies
and energy saving and emission reduction.
Level of Large-Scale Wind Generator Domestic
Production Resulting In The Loss of a Large Number of
Foreign Exchange in Vain
At the present time, the market share of China's domestic
wind turbines is less than 30%, while India has reached 63.1
%. About 72% of the key technology and equipment are
dependent on import or supplied by wholly foreign-owned
enterprises. The MW-class unit which is the international
our country; therefore, the failure rate of wind power is
relatively high.
Technological Innovative Capacity of Wind Power
Has Become the Biggest Bottleneck of Industrial
Development
The competition of global wind power market lies on the
competition of wind power development in technological
innovation, and the great nations of wind power usually have
strong manufacturing powers of wind turbine. In China, wind
turbine manufacturing is short of long-term investment in
research and development, the basis of wind turbine
manufacturing is weak. There are no national R&D
institutions, public testing platform and systems of standards,
testing, and certification. Moreover, we haven’t grasped the
design and integration technology of large-scale wind turbine,
and the capabilities to provide the auxiliary items for key parts
is relatively weak. On the one hand, it is difficult to grasp the
key technology of wind turbine because of the strict protection
of manufacturing technologies of foreign wind power
equipment; On the other hand, by the constraints of talents,
technology, processes and materials, the digestion and
absorption capacity of domestic enterprises on introduced
technology is weak, especially the involvement of the key
equipment manufacturing companies in wind power
equipment manufacturers is slow. In this case, the
transnational corporations are very positive about China's
wind power market. They blockade the technique, meanwhile,
they use their advantages on capital and brand to grab the
domestic resources and talents, suppress domestic enterprises,
which result in the difficult situation of home-made wind
turbines and the cultivation of independent brands.
of Wind Power Ongrid is Unreasonable, and
Enterprises Lack a Reasonable Profit Margin
Surveys show that the price of wind power in China's
eastern coastal areas is 0.43-0.48 Yuan/kWh, while the
generation cost of wind power is about 0.4-0.5 Yuan/kWh, so
there is no profit for enterprises. Because of the lack of
resources and low price resulted from business competition,
there is no profit of wind power enterprises, and the national
electricity systems of tender can not serve the purpose of
stimulating industrial development. The implementation of the
wind power system of value-added tax by half with no offset
to wind power projects, therefore, the tax burden is still heavy.
Although the establishment of special funds to support
renewable energy development is proposed in the "Renewable
Energy Law," the related policies have not been fully
implemented.
III.
MEASURES TO PROMOTE THE HEALTHY DEVELOPMENT
OF WIND POWER INDUSTRY IN CHINA
of National Wind Energy Resources Should Be
Drawn as Soon as Possible, and the Master Development
Plan of National Wind Power Industry Should Be
Prepared Accordingly
It is suggested that the followings should be done first based
on the third wind power evaluation in China and the common
international norms in recent years: (1) investigate and evaluate
both onshore and offshore wind power resources; (2) classify
the areas of different wind power resources by using GIS
(Geographic Information System); (3) complete the detailed
evaluation of wind power resources which with the accuracy of
5×5 km; (4) propose the list of development sequence of wind
power in China, and then, produce high-resolution atlas of
wind power resources by using numerical simulation technique,
and after which to evaluate the technological development
reserves. Try to realize what the real situation of wind energy
by means of evaluation, and then to construct standardized
database of wind power industry in China which can be used
by the relevant departments and the wind power investors and
can also be used as the foundation to prepare the master plan
of wind power industry development in China. Based on the
master plan we can make clear the following contents: the
overall guiding ideology, the overall position, development
goals, spatial layout, the site selection of large-scale wind farm,
the construction of wind industry base, the atlas of wind
industry, the technology innovation system of wind power, the
incubator construction of wind power industry, the
development policy and security measures of wind power
industry development. The above will lead to the result that
ensure the wind power industry sustained and steady
development in China and prompt the steps of connecting with
the international wind power industry.
e “
Ҏ
” Style Development Model, Construct Seven
National Low-Carbon High-Energy-Consumption Wind
Power Industrial Bases, Guide the High-Energy-
Consumption Industry to Wind Power Enrichment Areas of
Coastal and Three-Northern Areas
Under the situation that energy shortage and energy-saving
emission reduction becomes increasingly serious, some
industry styles which develop depending on fossil fuel energy
will meet lots of constraints. These high-energy-consumption
Figure 1. Distribution sketch map of "Ҏ" style development model and low-carbon high-energy-consumption wind power industrial bases in China
industry styles consist of electrolytic aluminium industry
(electricity costs account for approximately 40%), chloral-
alkali industry (electricity costs account for about 40-45%)
and seawater desalination and Hydrogen production industry
(electricity costs account for about 80%) and so on. National
Development and Reform Commission promulgated “Notice
related to further implementation of differential pricing policy
issues” in 2007, which eliminated the high-energy-consuming
industries preferential tariffs in order to promote its energy
saving. In this case, fully use of wind power resources and
establish low-carbon high-energy-consumption industry bases
in wind power enrichment areas is a very realistic choice. So
the paper suggests that: implement the "Ҏ" style development
model
[4]
which constituted by eastern coastal areas wind
power industry belt and along "Three-North" regions wind
power industry belt according to the economic development
spatial distribution pattern (Fig. 1); implement seven the 10
million kW grade large-scale wind power bases integrate with
electrolytic aluminum bases
[5]
[6]
, chloral-alkali chemical industry
bases
and seawater desalination system Hydrogen bases (Fig.
1); concentrate to built seven low-carbon high-energy-
consumption industry bases such as including Northeast base
[7]
,
Bohai Rim Region base
[8]
, Yangtze River Delta base
[9]
, Pearl
River Delta base
[10]
[11]
, Eastern Inner Mongolia base, Jiuquan
base
and Northern Xinjiang base. The overall capacity of
the seven wind power bases mentioned above will reach 193.9
billion kWh which is 92.16% of the total national amount of
wind power. If it’s 0.5 Yuan on average each kWh, the
production value of wind power industry should reach 105.2
billion Yuan until 2020 in China, and at the same time it will
mean savings 107 million tons of coal every year, reducing
201 million tons of CO
2
emissions, 1.61 million tons of SO
2
,
1.05 million tons of nitrogen oxides and 10.05 million tons of
dust. If it comes true the wind power development will make a
significant contribution to the targets of energy conservation
and emission reduction in China.
e the Ratio of Localization of Wind Power
Equipment, and Build Wind Power Equipment
Manufacturing Bases With International Competitiveness
In order to achieve the goal that ratio of localization of
large-scale wind power equipments will not less than 70%, we
must implement the “science and technology support wind
power industry” strategy. First, establish national wind energy
R&D institutions, strengthen the construction of public
technology platform for wind turbine manufacture, input
special fund to carry out basic research (for example, the
annual investment in research and development remained in
10~20 million dollars since 1980 in German, the United States
maintain about 40 million dollars). Second, suggest the
Chinese government to build China Wind Power Research
Center co-operation with Denmark which provides the world
50% wind power generators. Third, encourage the enterprises
which manufacture the whole wind turbine or the key parts of
the wind turbines to take measures of combined with
innovation and introduction of innovative to construct the
incubator of wind power industry, to establish the industry
pioneer park of wind power, and at last strive to achieve the
aim that cultivate 3~5 wind turbine manufacturers which
master the core technology and with independent brands and
international competitiveness within 3~5 years. Fourth,
establish the national wind turbine standards and system of
testing and certification, under which all wind turbines enter
into China must go through the mandatory testing and
certification. Fifth, according to the actual conditions of China,
develop low-temperature-type wind turbine which can endure
the temperature -30ć in Northern China, and the coastal-
high- temperature-type wind turbine which with anti-salt spray,
anti-heat, anti-fungal attributes. Research and produce wind
power generation equipment with independent intellectual
property rights, and form the capability of independent
innovation gradually.
the Wind Power Goal in the “Development
Planning for National Renewable Energy” and Change
Our Country from Rich of Wind Power Resources Nation
to Powerful of Wind Power Industry Nation
Suggest to amend the wind power goal in the “Development
Planning for National Renewable Energy ", specifically
heighten the planning goal 5 million kW to 15 million kW by
2010 and 30 million kW to 100 million kW by 2020, in which
non-grid wind power proportion will account for 30.9% of
wind power installed capacity. Improve the proportion of wind
power installed capacity account for the world from 1.6% in
2007 to 8% by 2020, and enhance the proportion of wind
power installed capacity accounting for total installed capacity
in China from 0.7% in 2007 to 8% by 2020. Raise the status of
China in the world for wind power generation and the strategic
status of wind power in the national energy security gradually.
Finally to achieve the aim that changing our country from
wind energy resources powers to wind industry powers.
Electricity Price on-Grid and Take the Minimum
Protective Price of 0.5 Yuan / kWh to Protect Wind Power
Enterprises
At present, the average level of desulphurization coal-
burned electricity is 0.37 Yuan/degree in China. It is 0.24
Yuan/kWh in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang, and 0.40 Yuan/
degree in some provinces in southeast coast. If consider the
cost of environmental and carbon emissions, the full-cost of
coal is close to the wind power. Under the same generating
cost, suggest that its priority is to develop wind power, and
implement minimum protective price 0.5 Yuan/ kWh for wind
power. Considering the fact that the wind power industry has
come to the large-scale development phase, we suggest to
learn from the experience of European countries and
implement the fixed electricity price system which will be
determined by the conditions of wind power resource, the
power load demand and the power grid construction. And then
based on the economic value to divide the fixed electricity
price district into three classes: the fixed electricity price in
Northeast, Northern and Northwest region will better be 0.5
Yuan/ kWh, 0.6 Yuan/ kWh in coastal regions such as Jiangsu,
Shanghai, Zhejiang and Guangdong and so on, and 0.55 Yuan/
kWh in other regions. This may enable the actual wind
electricity price to be 0.5-0.6 Yuan/ kWh so that not only can
shorten the payback period greatly, but also can get reasonable
economic benefits.
A
CKNOWLEDGMENT
This work was supported by National Basic Research Program of China
(973 Program)
(grant no. 2007CB210306), major project of 11
th
Five Year
Scientific and Technological Support Plan of China (NO. 2006BAJ14B03-01ˈ
2006BAJ05A06˅
R
EFERENCES
[1]W. Gu, New strategy for the development of wind power in China and
the wind power non-grid-connection theory, Beijing: Chemical Industry
Press, vol. 10 , pp. 52-53, 2006.
[2]C. Fang, et. al., “The Development Status and Strategy of the Wind
Power Industry in China,” Proceedings Non-Grid-Connected Wind
Power Systems, The American Scholars Press, 12,2007
[3]C. Fang, “The goal analysis and prospects of wind power development
in China.” Energy of China,
vol.
29, pp. 30-35,2007.
[4]C. Fang, “Wind Energy Resource Exploitation and Spatial Distribution
of off-Grid Wind-Powered Industrial Bases in China’s Urbanization
Process,”Resources Science,
vol.
30, pp. 1602-1611,2008.
[5]X. Llu, J. Huang, “Linked Distribution of Large 2 Scale off 2 Grid Wind
Power Industry and High-Energy-Consumption Nonferrous Metallurgy
in China,” Resources Science,vol.30, pp. 1622-1632, 2008.
[6]X. Lin, C. Fang, “Non-Coal High-Energy-Consumption Chlor-Alkali
Industry Distribution in China based on the Development of Large-Scale
off-Grid Wind Power Industry,” Resources Science, vol. 30, pp. 1612-
1622, 2008.
[7]Q. Zhang, “Wind Energy Resource Exploitation and Wind Power
Industry Development in Northeast China,” Resources Science,
vol.
30,
pp. 632-638, 2008.
[8]F. Wu, et. al., “Development of Wind Resources and Large-Scale off-
Grid Wind Power Industry in the Bohai Rim Region,” Resources
Science, vol.30, pp. 1640-1648, 2008.
[9]W. Qi, “Wind Energy Resource Exploitation and Construction of Large-
Scale Off-Grid Wind-Powered Industrial Bases in the Yangtze River
Delta,” Resources Science,
vol.
30, pp.1648-1657, 2008.
[10]C. Bao, C. Fang, “Construction of Large-Scale on-Grid and off-Grid
Wind Power Industrial Bases in the Pearl River Delta Region,”
Resources Science㧘
vol.
30, pp. 1658-1667, 2008.
[11]C. Liu, et. al., “Wind Energy Resource Exploitation and Large-Scale on-
Grid and off-Grid Wind Power Industrial Base Construction in
Northwest China,” Resources Science, vol. 30, pp. 1667-1676, 2008.
发布者:admin,转转请注明出处:http://www.yc00.com/xitong/1713646473a2290410.html
评论列表(0条)