2024年3月28日发(作者：酷狗免费下载音乐)

A worldwide food crisis

会有全球粮食危机吗？

Historically, only local governments worried about a widespread food crisis,

but today, a sharp spike in food prices and the resulting food crisis can quickly bee

a worldwide phenomenon、 Recent droughts along the equator, and in Russia and

Ukraine - two countries which account for one-fourth of world wheat exports -

caused wheat prices to surge、 Many worry the tight supply will cause inflationary

prices、 They fear the skyrocketing grain costs in 2007, which harshly struck the

world's poor and led to food riots, will recur、

在历史上，只有地方政府才会担心大范围得粮食危机，而如今，粮食价格得急剧上涨

及由此导致得粮食危机会很快成为一种全球现象。最近发生在赤道沿线、俄罗斯及乌克兰

得干旱使小麦价格不断飆升——俄罗斯与乌克兰两国小麦出口总量占世界出口总量得四分

之一。许多人担心小麦供应短缺会引发其价格膨胀，她们害怕 2007 年使世界穷人遭受重

创并引发食品骚乱得飞涨得粮食价格会再次出现。

Is their fear grounded? Consultancy firms measuring the status of modities

like wheat don't think so、 Stocks of wheat are at sufficiently high levels, and

harvest turnout from other big producers like the US is expected to stay strong、

So unlike in 2007, the supply situation isn't desperate, meaning wheat prices

should eventually calm down and level off、

However, this rosy picture provides only temporary security、 The bigger

picture discloses a reality not so optimistic、 Though current prices aren't as

sky-high as in the panicked market of 2007, they're still at higher levels than before

and are likely to stay that way、 The Organization for Economic Cooperation and

Development sees the average prices of products classified as essential such as

grains, vegetable oils, and dairy products rising for the next decade、

但就是，这一美好得画面只能带来短暂得安心。更大得画面所揭示得现实不容乐观。

虽然目前粮食价格没有达到 2007 年引起恐慌得市场上得那种天价，但与以前相比，价格

仍然居高不下，而且很有可能维持这样。经济合作与发展组织认为，谷物、植物油与奶制

品这些基本食品得平均价格在未来十年都将持续上涨。 It doesn't take an oracle to forel

that the fight to feed the world will be a huge challenge facing the global economy

over the next 20 years、 Food production is suffering from decades of neglect of

agriculture, a period when the sector was starved of the resources and technology

it needed to keep up with rising world demand、 Though more and more people

are intrigued by the issue and there is a growing global consensus about the need

for reform in farming, we're really only at the beginning of a long, expensive,

process of repairing world agricultural practices、 That means food prices will stay

high over the next several years, as will the risk of dangerous price fluctuations like

the current one with wheat、

未来 20 年，让世界上所有人都吃饱饭将就是全球经济所面临得巨大挑战，这一点很

明确，不需要通过行家来预言。由于过去几十年对农业得疏忽，粮食生产受到影响，而这

几十年正就是农业这一行业急需得到资源与技术支持以满足日益增长得世界需求得重要时

期。虽然现在越来越多得人对这一问题表示出兴趣，对农业耕作进行改革得需要也获得全

球越来越广泛得认同，但事实上，在修复全球农业作业这样一项耗时长、代价高得工作中，